Week 4 encompasses a pair of impartial web site matchups between groups ranked within the AP Top 25.
No. 12 Notre Dame and No. 18 Wisconsin meet at Soldier Field in Chicago for the Big Noon Kickoff sport, and No. 16 Arkansas and No. 7 Texas A&M meet at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, at 3:30 p.m. ET. Those video games are a part of one other enjoyable slate of faculty soccer motion.
SN’s Bill Bender continues to be attempting to dig out of the outlet in our weekly picks towards the unfold. With the report variety of upsets via the primary three weeks, that has not been simple.
- Straight up: 44-11 (17-3 in Week 3)
- Against the unfold: 23-32 (10-10 in Week 3)
- Upsets: 3-1 (1-1 in Week 3)
With that in thoughts, a have a look at this week’s picks:
Week 4 picks towards the unfold
Friday, Sept. 24
- UNLV at No. 22 Fresno State (-31.5) (10 p.m, ESPN2)
Fresno State quarterback Jake Haener led an upset towards UCLA final week, and he averages 366 passing yards per sport. It’s the third straight 30-plus level underdog unfold for the Rebels, and they’re 1-1 ATS the final two weeks.
Pick: Fresno State wins 41-14 however FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
Saturday, Sept. 25
- No. 2 Georgia (-34.5) at Vanderbilt (12 p.m., SEC Network)
The Bulldogs are 30-plus favorites for the second straight week in an SEC East sport, and they’ll win the sport behind a stable dashing assault and environment friendly play from J.T. Daniels. Georgia has gained the final three conferences in Nashville by a mean of 24 factors per sport. If the Commodores can rating double digits, then they are going to cowl.
Pick: Georgia wins 42-9 however FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
- No. 18 Wisconsin (-5.5) vs. No. 12 Notre Dame (12 p.m., FOX)
It’s the Jack Coan revenge sport. The Wisconsin switch will tackle his outdated staff, and the Irish must discover a more-consistent working sport towards a stingy Badgers’ run protection (33.0 ypg.). That stated, that is the type of assertion sport the Irish want. Brian Kelly is 14-8 towards Big Ten opponents.
Pick: Notre Dame wins 24-23 in an UPSET.
- UMass at No. 17 Coastal Carolina (-35.5) (1 p.m., ESPN+)
We have whiffed on Coastal Carolina picks the final two weeks, and it is not going to be simple with one more 30-point unfold. UMass has put up 28 factors every of the final two weeks and lined in each of these video games. Do we get one other cowl right here?
Pick: Coastal Carolina wins 52-20 however FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
- Colorado State at No. 5 Iowa (-22.5) (3:30 p.m., FS1)
Iowa’s methodical offense could make for some nail-biting covers, however that protection will trigger issues for the Rams, who full simply 55.7 % of their passes as a staff. Kirk Ferentz would possibly open it up somewhat extra with Spencer Petras on this sport, too. Iowa improves to 4-0 ATS with one other huge win.
Pick: Iowa wins 35-10 and COVERS the unfold.
- No. 7 Texas A&M (-5.5) vs. No. 16 Arkansas (3:30 p.m., CBS)
The Razorbacks’ dashing assault options 5 gamers who’ve a minimum of 100 yards dashing, and Ok.J. Jefferson is growing right into a dual-threat star. Texas A&M is attempting to make it 10 in a row towards their SEC West rivals. This ought to reside as much as expectations.
Pick: Texas A&M wins 31-28 however FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
- No. 14 Iowa State (-6.5) at Baylor (3:30 p.m, FOX)
The Bears are off to a 3-0 begin beneath second-year coach Dave Aranda with the assistance of a three-headed dashing assault that averages 328.5 yards per sport and an improved protection. Iowa State had its get-right sport final week. The Bears have gained six of the final seven conferences in Waco. The temptation to choose the upset is there, however the Cyclones get out with the victory.
Pick: Iowa State wins 28-27 however FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
- No. 9 Clemson (-10.5) at N.C. State (3:30 p.m. ESPN)
Clemson inventory is down, particularly after a goal-line stand was wanted to complete off Georgia Tech. The Tigers nonetheless have a nasty protection, and D.J. Uiagalelei settles in with just a few huge performs within the passing sport on the highway. Clemson has gained the final eight conferences within the sequence.
Pick: Clemson wins 28-16 and COVERS the unfold.
- Rutgers at No. 19 Michigan (-18.5) (3:30 p.m., ABC)
Michigan gained a 48-42 triple-overtime thriller at Rutgers final season. Both groups are 3-0 S/U and 3-0 ATS to begin the season. The Wolverines have gained three residence conferences towards the Scarlet Knights by a mean of 35.3 factors per sport. It comes all the way down to how a lot Rutgers can decelerate Michigan’s dashing assault, which ranks fifth within the nation at 339 yards per sport. If Noah Vedral can keep away from expensive turnovers, then Rutgers will make it attention-grabbing.
Pick: Michigan wins 34-17 however FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
- Georgia State vs. No. 23 Auburn (-26.5) (4 p.m., SECN)
Auburn misplaced in Happy Valley, however Georgia State presents an opportunity for a get-well sport. The Panthers have suffered blowout losses to Army and North Carolina, and the Tigers ought to be capable to get what they need on offense. Look for a giant sport from Bo Nix.
Pick: Auburn wins 41-13 and COVERS the unfold.
- No. 24 UCLA (-5.5) at Stanford (6 p.m., Pac-12 Network)
The Bruins stayed within the ballot after a shootout loss to Fresno State, and Stanford has scored 40-plus factors in back-to-back victories after a Week 1 loss to Kansas State. The Cardinal have gained seven of the final eight conferences, however the run protection is shaky.
Pick: UCLA wins 31-28 however FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
- Tennessee at No. 11 Florida (-20) (7 p.m., ESPN)
The Vols have not gained in The Swamp since 2003, and Florida’s offense will current a number of points for Josh Heupel. The Gators have gained the final three conferences beneath Dan Mullen by a mean of twenty-two factors per sport.
Pick: Florida wins 38-20 however FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
- Nebraska at No. 20 Michigan State (-3.5) (7 p.m., FS1)
The Spartans proceed to roll with Kenneth Walker III and a punishing dashing assault, and Nebraska is coming off one other emotional loss towards Oklahoma. The Huskers are 9-2 all time towards the Spartans, however we’re trusting the higher staff.
Pick: Michigan State wins 30-20 and COVERS the unfold.
- No. 25 Kansas State at Oklahoma State (-6.5) (7 p.m., ESPN+)
This ought to be a enjoyable sport between undefeated Big 12 groups which have survived early-season exams. Four of the final 5 matchups in Stillwater have been determined by one rating, and the Cowboys are 4-1 in these video games.
Pick: Oklahoma State wins 27-20 and COVERS the unfold.
- Southern Miss at No. 1 Alabama (-44.5) (7:30 p.m., SECN)
Southern Miss averages 8.0 factors per sport in losses to Troy and South Alabama, so the Crimson Tide shall be searching for a shutout after struggling towards the run towards Florida.
Pick: Alabama wins 54-7 and COVERS the unfold.
- West Virginia at No. 4 Oklahoma (-16.5) (7:30 p.m., ABC)
There is perhaps worth within the Sooners right here. They have did not cowl towards Tulane and Nebraska; video games during which the unfold was greater than 20 factors. The Mountaineers have performed one-score video games towards Maryland and Virginia Tech, and Ledee Brown may have a giant sport on the bottom. The Sooners have gained the final three video games in Norman by 20 factors or extra.
Pick: Oklahoma wins 38-20 and COVERS the unfold.
- Akron vs. No. 10 Ohio State (-49.5) (7:30 p.m., BTN)
Games with spreads this excessive should not be performed. The Zips misplaced 60-10 to Auburn in Week 1, and Ohio State may match that whole in a uncommon prime-time sport towards a MAC opponent. The Buckeyes’ protection continues to surrender too many huge performs, nevertheless, and it solely takes one or two to get a canopy.
Pick: Ohio State wins 52-7 however FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
- Georgia Tech at No. 21 North Carolina (-12.5) (7:30 p.m., ACCN)
The Tar Heels have put collectively back-to-back 59-point performances after a Week 1 loss, and the Yellow Jackets are coming off a heart-breaking loss to Clemson. Sam Howell retains the North Carolina offense rolling in a house victory.
Pick: North Carolina wins 38-22 and COVERS the unfold.
- Arizona at No. 3 Oregon (-28.5) (10:30 p.m., ESPN)
Arizona averaged 16.3 factors per sport via three weeks, and the Wildcats struggled with turnovers in a Week 3 loss to Northern Arizona. Oregon can exploit that on either side, however that half-point hook ought to be sufficient for the Wildcats to cowl. The Ducks are 0-2 ATS as a favourite this season.
Pick: Oregon wins 38-14 and FAILS TO COVER the unfold.
- South Florida at No. 15 BYU (-22.5) (10:15 p.m, ESPN2)
The line has dropped some extent from its open, and the Bulls are 1-1 ATS in video games the place they’re 20-plus level underdogs this season. The Cougars simply beat three straight Pac-12 opponents they usually maintain that focus rolling with one other blowout.
Pick: BYU wins 42-13 and COVERS the unfold.